Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.993152 1.114035 1.245537 1.399487 1.575121 1.769641 2.001938
2026-02-08 0.784323 0.939931 1.122197 1.352496 1.637188 1.979454 2.424908
2026-02-15 0.652036 0.823434 1.036403 1.322672 1.700729 2.187533 2.869264
2026-02-22 0.583276 0.770168 1.014421 1.360837 1.845669 2.509294 3.502313
2026-03-01 0.521829 0.715429 0.979526 1.371726 1.948981 2.782651 4.105909
2026-03-08 0.460707 0.652005 0.922624 1.340672 1.983360 2.956079 4.582771
2026-03-15 0.410989 0.598182 0.871673 1.309321 2.009097 3.114400 5.053793
2026-03-22 0.391275 0.585671 0.879024 1.365496 2.175124 3.511327 5.975968
2026-03-29 0.369991 0.568025 0.875775 1.403044 2.313579 3.878944 6.905113
2026-04-05 0.349445 0.549125 0.867957 1.431021 2.437558 4.235930 7.871703
2026-04-12 0.325859 0.522843 0.845116 1.430050 2.509065 4.506199 8.714488
2026-04-19 0.301498 0.492944 0.813129 1.408944 2.540141 4.703180 9.440148
2026-04-26 0.271787 0.452481 0.761173 1.349660 2.498778 4.767498 9.929182
2026-05-03 0.248069 0.420479 0.721313 1.308864 2.489050 4.895837 10.589336
2026-05-10 0.228914 0.394876 0.690520 1.281853 2.503358 5.076171 11.405691
2026-05-17 0.220498 0.387830 0.692858 1.319434 2.655155 5.573394 13.081775
2026-05-24 0.209367 0.374747 0.682542 1.330258 2.751288 5.962052 14.573621
2026-05-31 0.194428 0.353227 0.654060 1.300376 2.753915 6.135384 15.540838
2026-06-07 0.180864 0.333249 0.626825 1.270128 2.751638 6.296441 16.510673
2026-06-14 0.177467 0.332758 0.638261 1.324436 2.952546 6.989203 19.157144
2026-06-21 0.172368 0.328434 0.641439 1.360726 3.115517 7.613925 21.765339
2026-06-28 0.166696 0.322468 0.640619 1.387760 3.259463 8.213771 24.457507
2026-07-05 0.158928 0.311567 0.628375 1.386824 3.332329 8.632252 26.672249